Research
Leading and Lagging Relationship in International Business Cycles (Job Market Paper), 2009
I use a two-country two-good model with different labor adjustment costs to answer
the following question: why US tends to be the leader in international business cycles.
The cross-country output and employment correlations at different time lags between
the main developed countries (EU15,
strong asymmetric structures: the correlations with past
higher than those with future
is the most asymmetric among macroeconomic series. I find that the asymmetry
level is positively related with the labor protection level across countries. The model
predicts that the country with higher labor protection absorbs the productivity shocks
much slower than the country with lower labor protection. Due to the sluggish
responses to shocks, series in high labor protection country will be more correlated
with lagged series in low labor cost country.
Foreign Direct Investment and Home Bias (
in progress)
with Lin Lu, 2008
In this
paper we introduce foreign direct investment to explain the home bias puzzle.
Using the
model in Helpman et al. (2004), we find that in a
two-country symmetric
model, the trade-output ratio predicted by a
model of heterogenous firms with Foreign
Direct
Investment is much lower than a model without FDI, therefore more consistent
with data. If we extend the countries to be
asymmetric, the model predicts much
better results for the trade between U.S.-Canada
and U.S.-E.U compared with the
model without FDI.
Other paper
Economic
Growth and Consumer Behavior in a General Equilibrium Model
with Yingxue Cao,
Operation Research and
Management Science, vol 17, 2008