Timothy Jerome Kehoe, José María Da Rocha, y Julián Díaz

Comercio Internacional y Liberalización de Inversión Extranjera

Usando Modelos Aplicados de Equilibrio General

Banco Central de Ecuador

Abril 2004

Material del curso:

Notas sobre modelos de equilibrio general aplicado

Las matrices de oferta y utilización de Ecuador 2001

Las matrices de oferta y utilización de Ecuador 1998

Notas sobre la matriz de contabilidad social (MCS-SAM) de Ecuador 2001

Las matrices agregadas de 3 sectores y de 4 sectores

Archivos MATLAB del modelo con 3 sectores

Archivos MATLAB del modelo con 4 sectores

Notas sobre el modelo dinámico de España

Unos artículos:

1.  Introducción a modelos estáticos de equilibrio general aplicado

P. J. Kehoe y T. J. Kehoe, "Capturing NAFTA's Impact with Applied General Equilibrium Models," Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 18:2 (1994), 17-34.

P. J. Kehoe y T. J. Kehoe, "A Primer on Static Applied General Equilibrium Models," Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 18:2 (1994), 2-16.  [Traducido como "Los Modelos de Equilibrio General Aplicado de Política Comercial," en Timothy J. Kehoe, editor, "Integración Económica en Europa y las Américas," Cuadernos Económicos de I.C.E., 59 (1995), 7-32.]

T. J. Kehoe, "Social Accounting Matrices and Applied General Equilibrium Models," en I. Begg y S. G. B. Henry, editores, Applied Economics and Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, 1998, 59-87.

T. J. Kehoe, Antonio Manresa, Clemente Polo, y Ferran Sancho "Una Matriz de Contabilidad Social de la Economía Española," Estadística Española, 30 (1988), 5-33.

2.  Experiencia en España

T. J. Kehoe, A. Manresa, C. Polo, y F. Sancho, "Un Análisis de Equilibrio General de la Reforma Fiscal de 1986 en España," Investigaciones Económicas, 13 (1989), 337-385.

T. J. Kehoe, A. Manresa, P. J. Noyola, C. Polo, y F. Sancho, "A General Equilibrium Analysis of the 1986 Tax Reform in Spain," European Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 32 (1988), 334-342. 

T. J. Kehoe, C. Polo, y Ferran Sancho, "An Evaluation of the Performance of an Applied General Equilibrium Model of the Spanish Economy," Economic Theory, 6 (1995), 115-141.

3.  Experiencia en América del Norte

E. H. Fry, "North American Economic Integration Policy Options," Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2003.

A. García Rocha y T. J. Kehoe, "Efectos del Tratado de Libre Comercio sobre la Economía Mexicana," en J. Serra-Puche, editor, Hacia un Tratado de Libre Comercio en América del Norte. Miguel Ángel Porrúa, 1991, 199-240

G. H. Hanson, "What Has Happened to Wages in Mexico since NAFTA?  Implications for Hemispheric Free Trade," NBER Working Paper 9563, 2003.

T. Hertel, D. Hummels, M. Ivanic, and R. Keeney, "How Confident Can We Be in CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements?" NBER Working Paper 10477, 2004.

T. J. Kehoe, Comment on "Liberalization, Growth and Financial Crises: Lessons from Mexico and the Developing World" by A. Tornell, F. Westermann, and L. Martínez en W. C. Brainard y G. L. Perry, editores, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2003, número 2, 89-99.

T. J. Kehoe, "An Evaluation of the Performance of Applied General Equilibrium Models of the Impact of NAFTA," University of Minnesota, 2003.

T. J. Kehoe y J. Serra-Puche, "A Computational General Equilibrium Model with Endogenous Unemployment: An Analysis of the 1980 Fiscal Reform in Mexico," Journal of Public Economics, 22 (1983), 1-26.

T. J. Kehoe y J. Serra-Puche, "A General Equilibrium Appraisal of Energy Policy in Mexico," Empirical Economics, 16 (1991), 71-93.

D. Lederman, W. F. Maloney, y L. Servén, "Lessons From NAFTA for Latin America and the Caribbean Countries:  A Summary of Research Findings," The World Bank, 2004.

J. Romalis, "NAFTA’s and CUSFTA’s Impact on North American Trade," University of Chicago, 2002.

M. Sánchez y N. Karp, "NAFTA’s Economic Effects on Mexico," Economic Research Department, Grupo Financiero Bancomer, 2000.

A. Tornell, F. Westermann, y L. Martínez, "Liberalization, Growth, and Financial Crises: Lessons from Mexico and the Developing World," en W. C. Brainard y G. L. Perry, editores, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2003, número 2, 1-88.

D. Trefler, "The Long and Short of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement," University of Toronto, 2001.

4.  Modelos dinámicos de equilibrio general aplicado

R. Bems and K. Jönsson, “Trade Deficits in the Baltic States:  How Long Will the Party Last?” Stockholm School of Economics, 2003.

R. Bergoeing, P. J. Kehoe, T. J. Kehoe, y R. Soto, "A Decade Lost and Found:  Mexico and Chile in the 1980s," Review of Economic Dynamics, 5 (2002), 166-205. 

G. Fernández de Córdoba y T. J. Kehoe, "Capital Flows and Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations Following Spain's Entry into the European Community," Journal of International Economics, 51 (2000), 49-78.

T. J. Kehoe, "Towards a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of North American Trade," en J. Francois y C. R. Shiells, editores, Modeling Trade Policy: Applied General Equilibrium Assessments of North American Free Trade, Cambridge University Press, 1994, 328-347.  [Versión revisada traducido como "Las Ganancias Dinámicas del Comercio en América del Norte,"  en T. J. Kehoe, editor, "Integración Económica en Europa y las Américas," Cuadernos Económicos de I.C.E., 59 (1995), 105-124.]

T. J. Kehoe, "What Can We Learn from the Current Crisis in Argentina?" Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 50 (2003), 609-633.

T. J. Kehoe y K. J. Ruhl, "How Important is the New Goods Margin in International Trade?" University of Minnesota, 2002.

T. J. Kehoe y K. J. Ruhl, "Recent Great Depressions:  Aggregate Growth in New Zealand and Switzerland 1973-2000," New Zealand Economic Papers, 37 (2003), 5-40.

K. J. Ruhl, "Solving the Elasticity Puzzle in International Economics," University of Minnesota, 2003.

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